The Economics of Solar Power
JUNE 2008 Peter Lorenz, Dickon Pinner, and Thomas Seitz
Source: Climate Change Special Initiative
A new era for solar power is approaching. Long derided as uneconomic, it is gaining ground as technologies improve and the cost of traditional energy sources rises. Within three to seven years, unsubsidized solar power could cost no more to end customers in many markets, such as California and Italy, than electricity generated by fossil fuels or by renewable alternatives to solar. By 2020, global installed solar capacity could be 20 to 40 times its level today.
http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/The_economics_of_solar_power_2161
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